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Also on Oct 11: White vs Maroon

Up nextSun, Oct 11
BLACKS4 1–3 Head to head2–3 BLUES4 1–3

Black’s lower turnovers give them a statistical edge over Blue.

Across five meetings the two clubs have swapped victories, with Blue holding a 3‑2 series lead. The numbers show Black turning the ball over fewer times (18.2 vs 22.8) while also generating more steals (12.0 vs 10.2) and more blocks (4.4 vs 3.6). Blue still outshoots Black in field goal percentage (37.7% vs 32.4%) and grabs more rebounds (55.6 vs 50.0). Watch whether Black can translate its defensive advantages into a higher scoring efficiency in the next encounter.

Who wins? 16 picks
Odds· Black by 1
BLACK 54% 46% BLUE
How it's figured
  1. Points margin per game, S4 Black +0.8 · Blue −5.0
  2. Only 4 games in, so it counts 57%Black +0.4 vs Blue −2.9 → Black by 3.3. The weight grows as the season goes on.
  3. Head to head nudgeLast 5 meetings: Blue +4.2 a game, counts half → −2.1
  4. Projected margin → chance to winBlack by 1.2. A typical game swings about 12 points either way, so that's 54% to win.

Recalculated after every final. Just for fun — no betting.

Biggest edges · head to head5 meetings
72.2 Points 76.4
32.4 FG% 37.7
4.4 3PT made 5.8
17.9 3PT% 21.5
52.4 FT% 53.2
50.0 Rebounds 55.6
18.0 Assists 22.4
12.0 Steals 10.2
4.4 Blocks 3.6
18.2 Turnovers 22.8
Go-to scorers · in this matchup
Last 3 meetings